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30 Jun 2017, 00:00
Sven Egenter Julian Wettengel

G20 climate, energy plan goes to the wire at Hamburg summit

Hamburg harbour. Source - Federal German Government / Sascha Neuroth.
The G20 summit is held in the northern port town Hamburg. Source - Federal German Government / Sascha Neuroth.
One week ahead of the Hamburg G20 summit, the ambitious climate and energy action plan the German presidency was pushing hangs in the balance. German Chancellor Angela Merkel has said she is determined to make the meeting a success on climate 鈥 despite US President Donald Trump鈥檚 decision to leave the Paris climate agreement. G20 experts see a number of ways to save a joint statement but wonder if Trump as well as other countries less keen on ambitious climate policies would play along.

Angela Merkel has vowed to show her commitment to the Paris Agreement on climate change in next week鈥檚 talks with heads of state and government from the world鈥檚 20 largest industrialised and emerging economies. 鈥淭he dissent is obvious, and it would be insincere of us to whitewash it. I will not do that,鈥 she told lawmakers in a speech in the Bundestag one week before the summit start.

She would lead talks 鈥渋n a way that they serve the content and goal of the Paris Agreement鈥, Merkel has said. This with US President Donald Trump, who 聽the climate accords are 鈥渦nfair鈥 to the US and put it at a disadvantage.

Germany holds the G20 presidency this year and has made climate one of the priorities for the July 7-8 summit in the northern port city of Hamburg. Free trade will , with the fight against terrorism, financial market policy and migration filling the list of contentious issues.

When it took over the role from China in December, the German government set out to achieve a joint climate and energy action plan. The plan would show commitment to implementing the 2015 Paris deal, which aims to cut carbon emissions and stem global warming.

But the process stalled as the US began to waver. The final version of the plan from the relevant working group in May 鈥 before Trump made his decision 鈥 has been far less ambitious than the , and contained a footnote saying that the United States had not a position on climate and the plan yet. The German newspaper . Officials and observers stressed that it was now down to the leaders 鈥 and therefore the Chancellor 鈥 to find a way to save a joint statement.

State Secretary in the environment ministry Jochen Flasbarth told 麻豆无码版 that the German government is working hard to achieve a unanimous agreement for the final communiqu茅, 鈥淭his is not so easy, because of the United States鈥 position 鈥 we saw that at the G7. But it鈥檚 still our goal to get an ambitious text, an ambitious agreement accepted by all parties,鈥 he said.

鈥淚f we don鈥檛 succeed with that, our aim is to keep the family as tight as possible. This means that the Americans could possibly issue a reservation clause, and we would try to close the ranks with the other partners,鈥 said Flasbarth.

EU leaders want joint solution

At a recent preparatory meeting in Berlin, European Union leaders joined Merkel in the effort to achieve unity. 鈥淚t鈥檚 not leading us anywhere if we isolate a country,鈥 French President Emmanuel Macron said at a joint press conference.

But the US is not the only country negotiators are focused on, Christoph Bals, Policy Director of environmental NGO Germanwatch, told 麻豆无码版. Saudi Arabia is another. 鈥淥n the one hand it is massively dependent on fossil energies,鈥 Bals said. 鈥淎t the same time, after the Qatar crisis and the tensions that have built up there, Saudi Arabia is extremely dependent on the support of the United States.鈥 It鈥檚 also hard to predict how Russia and Turkey will act, he said.

However, Germany deepens climate protection alliances with countries such as China and India. Both countries鈥 leaders have said they are committed to the Paris Agreement.

Communiqu茅: 鈥淢any a formula to solve the problem on paper鈥

The G20 is an informal group that decides consensually. 鈥淭here will be no communiqu茅 unless everybody approves,鈥 Chancellor Merkel and government representatives have highlighted.

At the May G7 summit in Taormina, Italy, leaders agreed on a unanimous communiqu茅 that included a 鈥6+1鈥 solution on the Paris Agreement. In the text, the US specified that it did not join the consensus on 鈥渃limate change and on the Paris Agreement,鈥 as it was still 鈥渋n the process of reviewing its policies.鈥 After Trump pulled out of the Paris Agreement, G7 environment ministers met in Bologna, Italy, and agreed on a statement in which the US said in a footnote that it did 鈥渘ot join those sections of the communiqu茅 on climate.鈥

Some media , saying it had been relegated to the status of 鈥渇ootnote,鈥 but such outsider positions in G7(8) or G20 statements are not new, John Kirton of the Toronto-based G20 Research Group told the 麻豆无码版. 鈥淵ou recurrently find the phrase 鈥榯hose of us who agree in the value of nuclear power, wish to do more of that,鈥欌 Kirton said. This, for example, exempted Germany, but it was a collective statement by the whole group. 鈥淭he Hamburg summit could do for Donald Trump what several other G7 and G20 summits have done for Angela Merkel and Germany before,鈥 Kirton said.

There is 鈥渕any a formula to solve the problem on paper,鈥 but the question remains whether Trump will compromise, Kirton said. He was 鈥渢he most unpredictable, inexperienced and hence unreliable US president we鈥檝e seen since the end of the Second World War,鈥 Kirton said. 鈥淎ngela Merkel certainly is both able and willing to find a common solution and give him as many off-ramps as he needs, but it鈥檚 really up to him and the mood he鈥檒l be in.鈥

G20 Climate and 麻豆无码版 Action Plan

According to , the latest known version, also seen by 麻豆无码版, is 鈥渘o breakthrough鈥 on climate topics, but achieves a minimal consensus: G20 countries would commit to the Paris Agreement, to energy efficiency, and to supporting renewable energies.

Observers close to the G20 process say the US delegation has not stood in the way of creating the plan, and Germanwatch鈥檚 Bals said that only a few contentious points remained, which should be smoothed over in the last meeting of the top government officials 鈥 the so called Sherpas -- just before the summit. 鈥淚f then there are still some points, they need to be discussed by the heads of state and government,鈥 said Bals.

While Trump's decision did not spark a domino effect and other countries remain committed to the Paris Agreement, it did raise international scrutiny of Germany's own climate record, German state secretary for energy, Rainer Baake, said at an event in Berlin. Germany鈥檚 power generation also still depends in large part on climate-harmful coal, endangering the country鈥檚 climate goals. "We will have to deliver" on Germany's own targets, Baake said.

As president of the G20 forum, to host the summit in Hamburg, her place of birth. Hamburg is not only known as open-minded, with trade relations around the world, but also as capable of meeting logistical and security requirements for the event, she said.

However, the city also , raising . More than 10,000 participants will attend, including . A number of protests are planned in the days around the meeting, such as the 鈥溾 on Sunday, 2 July, against 鈥渢he neoliberal policy of the G20.鈥 On 5 and 6 July, the sees itself as the alternative G20 summit. 聽Argentina takes over the G20 presidency on 1 December 2017.

[Find more information on everything related to climate and energy in the G20 process in 麻豆无码版鈥檚 dossier G20 2017 - Climate and energy at the Hamburg summit]

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