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Germany is facing severe gas supply shortages in the coming winter if it fails to introduce the right measures, according to scenarios mapped out by the Federal Network Agency (BNetzA). The agency , based on different assumptions of flow through Nord Stream 1 (0%/20%/40% of full capacity), alternative imports and lowering exports. The country does not reach all its gas storage level targets (75% by 1 September, 85% by 1 October, 95% by 1 November and 40% by February next year) in any of the calculated scenarios. If gas supplies through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline connecting Germany with Russia dry up completely, the country will not only have to reduce overall gas consumption by 20 percent but also find substantial additional supply and lower exports to avoid a shortage. 鈥淲ithout appropriate measures, there may be a gas shortage of approximately 366 TWh [terawatt hours] for the entire winter from November 2022,鈥� the BNetzA wrote in a presentation. 鈥淭his corresponds to approximately one third of the total annual demand for gas.鈥�

Russia鈥檚 Gazprom has severely reduced deliveries through the crucial Nord Stream 1 pipeline in recent months and the German government has accused the country of 鈥渨eaponising鈥� energy supply in its war on Ukraine. On 9 August, the EU鈥檚 emergency gas plan . 鈥淭his means that Germany is not alone and that no European country has to tackle this crisis by itself,鈥� BNetzA head Klaus M眉ller . European Union member states agreed last month to cut their gas use by 15 percent from August 2022 to March 2023. However, as saving contributions are voluntary, it is unclear how much gas consumption will actually drop.