Capacity market debate resurfaces as Germany may need gas to replace coal
Handelsblatt
The planned exit from coal-fired power generation in Germany may require large-scale construction of gas-fired power plants, but the necessary investments in the technology still remain wanting, Klaus Stratmann in the Handelsblatt. 鈥淭he industry assumes that the required investments are not going to happen,鈥 Stratmann says, adding that uncertainty over the gas plants鈥 profitability due to the parallel increase in renewable energy capacity is holding potential investors back. 鈥淚nvestments could possibly be stimulated if it was possible to make money by keeping plants in stand-by mode鈥 in a capacity market and not only by providing electricity under the so-called 鈥渆nergy-only market鈥 scheme, where plants might only run a few days every year. According to Felix Matthes of research institution 脰办辞-滨苍蝉迟颈迟耻迟, 鈥渨e will need certainty by 2022 at the latest on which projects can be implemented without a capacity market.鈥
In its final report on a way out of coal-fired power production, the German coal exit commission said that a 鈥渟ystematic investment framework鈥 is needed to ensure that sufficient gas capacity is built up in time to compensate for the loss in coal capacity, and according to Germany鈥檚 grid agency BNetzA, the country will need 9.4 gigawatts (GW) of gas plant capacity by 2030. Germany decided against introducing a capacity market in 2015, betting on the so called energy only market. Utility operators had pushed for a capacity market, warning that the prices set on the wholesale markt for electricity did not provide enough incentives for investment in necessary flexible conventional capacity. In 2017, RWE head Rolf Martin Schmitz said a German capacity market would cost about two billion euros per year.